Evolutionary models for, fisheries management
نویسنده
چکیده
The potential use of functional evolutionary models and mechanistic ecological models as predictive tools in fisheries ecology is discussed. Evolution by natural selection is a force that leads to ecological adaptations of the individuals in the populations. By mechanistic modelling of the sense organs, we may model how individuals perceive their environment, and by life history theory we may predict optimal responses to environmental variation. Modelling tools such as dynamic programming and individualbased modelling are discussed, and the coupling to physical models of the sea allows analyses that hindcast with explanatory power. Currently, our ability to forecast is limited by weather models. However, the quasi-periodic oscillations of the hemisphere-level ocean-atmosphere interactions bring hope for increased ability to make predictions in the future .
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تاریخ انتشار 2002